Chances Prediction
Fit scoring and admission-chance prediction across 40+ MBA programs, updated as your candidacy matures.
Chances Prediction scores your candidacy across 40+ MBA programs and classifies each school as reach, target, or safety, using the same signals an admissions committee actually weighs.
The scoring runs as a stage of the engine so your predictions refresh as you improve your spine, your resume, or your test scores. They are not a one-shot calculator you run once and forget.
What the prediction uses
The engine pulls five broad signal categories from your profile: your academic record, your work experience, your test scores if present, your narrative strength as read from your spine and dean brief, and demographic context. It compares those signals against the most recent class profile the engine has for each program.
The output is a numeric fit score per school, a classification (reach, target, or safety), and a short list of the specific things most limiting your current score.
Admit Architect does not publish the exact weights it uses for each signal. The score is meant to help you prioritize, not to give you a number you can game.
Why predictions move over time
Every update to your spine interview, your resume, or your test scores can shift the score for a school. A candidate who walks in with a blank profile and finishes a complete spine interview can see meaningful movement purely from the engine having a clearer read on their narrative.
That is the point. The prediction is not a static grade. It is a moving diagnostic that rewards the work you put into the loop.
Public Chances Calculator
A simpler, single-run version of this tool is available at admitarchitect.com/tools/admission-chances with no account required. It uses the same scoring engine but does not persist your profile or update as you change it. See Free Tools.
How it fits in the engine
Chances Prediction is part of Orchestrate. It does not change your narrative, but it shapes how you spend your time across schools. If an application is classified reach, the engine will usually suggest higher investment in your Essay Workbench drafts for it, and more rigorous Connections outreach to the specific alumni profile that correlates with historical admits.